Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 21.8% chance and Mallorca beat Atlético Madrid with a 16.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 23 (before the first match) against those on April 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Europa League | 12.7% | 42.7% | +29.9 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 87.2% | 57.3% | −29.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 32.0% | 5.7% | −26.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 50.2% | 73.6% | +23.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 30.9% | 7.5% | −23.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 11.5% | 34.5% | +23.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 35.1% | 12.2% | −22.8 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 59.7% | 81.7% | +22.0 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 65.1% | 82.0% | +16.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 8.9% | 0.4% | −8.5 |
