Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 49.5% | 82.9% | +33.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 31.9% | 0% | −31.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 5.1% | 17.6% | +12.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 9.5% | 0% | −9.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 90.7% | 100% | +9.3 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 8.4% | 17.6% | +9.2 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 91.6% | 82.4% | −9.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 90.6% | 82.4% | −8.2 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 6.3% | 0% | −6.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 11.1% | 17.1% | +6.1 |
