Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Villarreal with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 39.4% | 100% | +60.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 53.1% | 100% | +46.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 36.5% | 0% | −36.5 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 66.3% | 100% | +33.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 23.8% | 0% | −23.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 23.0% | 0% | −23.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 11.1% | 33.8% | +22.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 18.4% | 0% | −18.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 17.8% | 0% | −17.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 17.6% | 0% | −17.6 |
