Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Real Betis with a 22.5% chance and Cádiz beat Real Zaragoza with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 9 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 34.0% | 53.1% | +19.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 85.1% | 66.3% | −18.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 32.1% | 18.4% | −13.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 29.3% | 17.8% | −11.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 13.9% | 23.8% | +9.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 45.4% | 36.5% | −8.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 4.5% | 13.1% | +8.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 10.5% | 17.6% | +7.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.0% | +6.9 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 82.4% | 76.2% | −6.1 |
