Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Athletic Club with a 18.5% chance and Racing Santander beat Celta Vigo with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 50.5% | 35.4% | −15.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 20.0% | 31.5% | +11.5 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 29.7% | 39.8% | +10.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 41.6% | 32.3% | −9.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 57.5% | 66.5% | +9.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.8% | 50.4% | −8.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 20.0% | 28.3% | +8.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 43.6% | 36.5% | −7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 28.5% | 21.6% | −6.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 36.3% | 29.8% | −6.5 |
