Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Real Madrid with a 8.2% chance and Cádiz beat Racing Santander with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 58.3% | 43.6% | −14.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 47.3% | 34.6% | −12.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 30.8% | 20.0% | −10.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 40.1% | 50.5% | +10.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 20.6% | 11.5% | −9.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 50.0% | 58.8% | +8.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 33.4% | 41.6% | +8.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 27.8% | 20.0% | −7.8 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 22.6% | 29.7% | +7.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 15.1% | 21.2% | +6.1 |
