Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Osasuna with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 22 (before the first match) against those on January 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 26.2% | 40.8% | +14.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 60.5% | 74.0% | +13.5 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 53.1% | 41.5% | −11.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 75.0% | 63.7% | −11.3 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 49.3% | 60.0% | +10.7 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 43.9% | 54.2% | +10.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 18.9% | 27.7% | +8.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 17.3% | 9.0% | −8.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 34.5% | 26.7% | −7.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 45.2% | 38.0% | −7.2 |
