Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Real Zaragoza with a 23.4% chance and Celta Vigo beat Málaga with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 15 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Champions League | 63.5% | 53.1% | −10.5 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 33.8% | 43.9% | +10.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 32.7% | 23.5% | −9.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 66.1% | 75.3% | +9.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 56.1% | 49.3% | −6.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 10.6% | 3.8% | −6.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 13.8% | 7.1% | −6.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 11.3% | 17.6% | +6.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 21.1% | 26.2% | +5.1 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 21.3% | 16.6% | −4.7 |
