Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 10.0% chance and Cádiz beat Málaga with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 8 (before the first match) against those on January 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 45.2% | 29.1% | −16.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 47.9% | 32.7% | −15.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 43.2% | 57.9% | +14.7 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 19.5% | 33.8% | +14.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 52.2% | 66.1% | +13.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 84.0% | 72.6% | −11.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 45.3% | 56.1% | +10.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 50.5% | 42.1% | −8.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 31.9% | 39.0% | +7.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 13.4% | 20.2% | +6.8 |
