Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Espanyol with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 48.4% | 30.8% | −17.6 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 36.6% | 22.6% | −13.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 18.7% | 30.0% | +11.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 45.7% | 35.0% | −10.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 18.1% | 27.8% | +9.7 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 41.8% | 32.2% | −9.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 22.5% | 30.5% | +8.0 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 8.2% | 15.8% | +7.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 26.4% | 33.9% | +7.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 30.4% | 37.8% | +7.3 |
