Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 11 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Athletic ClubRelegation30.2%18.9%−11.3
Deportivo La CoruñaChampions League36.0%46.2%+10.2
Real MadridChampions League66.6%57.2%−9.5
BarcelonaChampion67.8%73.9%+6.1
Real MadridEuropa League20.1%26.0%+5.9
CádizRelegation42.1%47.9%+5.8
Celta VigoChampions League10.4%4.7%−5.8
Real BetisRelegation20.2%25.2%+4.9
ValenciaChampions League37.2%42.0%+4.8
Deportivo AlavésRelegation64.1%68.9%+4.8
Home 46.9%
Draw 26.2%
Away 26.9%
Home 37.5%
Draw 29.2%
Away 33.3%
Home 24.3%
Draw 25.1%
Away 50.6%
Home 29.5%
Draw 27.4%
Away 43.1%
Home 52.9%
Draw 24.4%
Away 22.7%
Home 38.2%
Draw 29.0%
Away 32.9%
Home 42.5%
Draw 27.6%
Away 29.9%
Home 59.3%
Draw 22.6%
Away 18.1%
Home 62.1%
Draw 21.8%
Away 16.1%
Home 61.3%
Draw 22.0%
Away 16.7%