Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.0% chance and Racing Santander beat Real Madrid with a 12.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 57.2% | 44.1% | −13.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 42.0% | 54.2% | +12.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 33.4% | 21.3% | −12.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 47.9% | 59.0% | +11.1 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 61.9% | 72.4% | +10.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 36.5% | 46.9% | +10.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 46.2% | 36.8% | −9.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 68.9% | 77.7% | +8.8 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 25.2% | 17.2% | −7.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 14.5% | 7.6% | −6.9 |
