Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Getafe with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 48.3% | 34.8% | −13.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.2% | 66.6% | +10.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 43.4% | 52.4% | +9.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 44.9% | 37.2% | −7.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 30.8% | 23.6% | −7.2 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 10.7% | 16.6% | +5.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 16.5% | 11.1% | −5.4 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 58.2% | 63.6% | +5.4 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 10.3% | 5.0% | −5.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 23.0% | 28.2% | +5.2 |
