Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Sevilla with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 27 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 53.2% | 33.5% | −19.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 46.6% | 30.8% | −15.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 58.1% | 43.4% | −14.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 54.6% | 66.9% | +12.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 33.3% | 44.9% | +11.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 21.6% | 32.7% | +11.1 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 48.7% | 58.2% | +9.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 56.0% | 65.4% | +9.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 25.4% | 16.5% | −8.9 |
| Villarreal | Champion | 11.2% | 4.0% | −7.2 |
