Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 48.0% | 34.0% | −14.1 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 37.0% | 24.5% | −12.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 76.9% | 65.5% | −11.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 38.8% | 49.6% | +10.8 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 43.6% | 33.4% | −10.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 80.8% | 72.9% | −7.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 25.9% | 33.7% | +7.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 28.8% | 21.2% | −7.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 42.2% | 49.5% | +7.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 28.4% | 35.7% | +7.3 |
