Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Barcelona with a 11.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 49.5% | 37.2% | −12.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 34.0% | 45.1% | +11.1 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 33.4% | 22.4% | −11.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 65.5% | 74.0% | +8.4 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 31.7% | 40.1% | +8.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 49.6% | 41.2% | −8.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 21.2% | 29.4% | +8.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 33.0% | 25.6% | −7.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 21.0% | 27.8% | +6.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 35.7% | 42.2% | +6.5 |
