Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Deportivo Alavés with a 12.6% chance and Mallorca beat Real Madrid with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 60.3% | 48.0% | −12.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 65.1% | 76.9% | +11.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 50.4% | 38.8% | −11.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 49.3% | 60.1% | +10.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 19.3% | 28.8% | +9.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 35.4% | 25.9% | −9.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 37.5% | 28.4% | −9.1 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 34.9% | 43.6% | +8.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 7.6% | 16.0% | +8.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 29.7% | 21.3% | −8.3 |
