Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Athletic Club with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 27 (before the first match) against those on June 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 12.0% | 46.2% | +34.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 12.0% | 46.2% | +34.2 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 88.0% | 53.8% | −34.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 88.0% | 53.8% | −34.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 63.8% | 91.6% | +27.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 27.5% | 0% | −27.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 90.5% | 100% | +9.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 8.3% | 0% | −8.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 86.2% | 79.0% | −7.2 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 93.9% | 100% | +6.1 |
