Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Real Sociedad with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 10 (before the first match) against those on June 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 15.6% | 100% | +84.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 79.0% | 0% | −79.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 46.2% | 100% | +53.8 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 53.8% | 0% | −53.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 53.8% | 0% | −53.8 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 46.2% | 100% | +53.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 91.6% | 100% | +8.4 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 8.4% | 0% | −8.4 |
