Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Oviedo beat Barcelona with a 15.7% chance and Real Valladolid beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 17.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 50.4% | 12.3% | −38.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 49.9% | 86.2% | +36.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 38.7% | 12.0% | −26.7 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 61.3% | 88.0% | +26.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 26.7% | 2.1% | −24.6 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 69.8% | 90.5% | +20.7 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 28.7% | 12.0% | −16.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 71.3% | 88.0% | +16.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 49.0% | 63.8% | +14.8 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 10.0% | <0.1% | −10.0 |
