Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Valencia with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 69.4% | 50.1% | −19.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 24.0% | 41.8% | +17.8 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 48.0% | 63.6% | +15.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 81.3% | 67.7% | −13.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 32.3% | 19.3% | −13.1 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 17.6% | 29.4% | +11.8 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 42.3% | 31.4% | −10.9 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 29.6% | 39.7% | +10.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 64.7% | 73.0% | +8.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 14.6% | 6.5% | −8.0 |
