Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Deportivo Alavés with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 15 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 73.0% | 55.5% | −17.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 41.8% | 24.5% | −17.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 43.3% | 27.4% | −15.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 50.1% | 65.9% | +15.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 19.3% | 33.4% | +14.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.9% | 48.6% | −10.3 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 7.5% | 15.1% | +7.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 6.5% | 13.4% | +6.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 63.6% | 69.8% | +6.2 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 36.0% | 42.1% | +6.1 |
