Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 1 (before the first match) against those on April 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 63.2% | 42.3% | −20.8 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 60.3% | 72.0% | +11.6 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 37.1% | 48.0% | +10.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 74.4% | 63.9% | −10.4 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 21.9% | 31.9% | +10.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 82.6% | 92.5% | +9.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 14.2% | 5.2% | −9.0 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 12.1% | 3.7% | −8.3 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 21.8% | 29.6% | +7.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 73.7% | 81.3% | +7.7 |
