Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Mallorca with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Relegation | 49.3% | 35.1% | −14.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 39.0% | 48.9% | +9.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 46.9% | 56.5% | +9.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 30.5% | 39.8% | +9.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 31.8% | 23.2% | −8.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 37.6% | 45.6% | +8.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 72.9% | 66.5% | −6.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 29.1% | 35.3% | +6.2 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 31.0% | 36.8% | +5.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 13.5% | 8.1% | −5.4 |
