Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Deportivo Alavés with a 6.1% chance and Osasuna beat Espanyol with a 13.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 10 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 53.6% | 37.6% | −15.9 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 64.2% | 49.3% | −15.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 55.8% | 41.2% | −14.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 32.9% | 46.9% | +14.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 41.8% | 29.6% | −12.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 34.9% | 46.7% | +11.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 62.1% | 72.9% | +10.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 18.4% | 29.1% | +10.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 21.3% | 31.8% | +10.5 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 21.3% | 30.5% | +9.2 |
