Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Valencia with a 17.8% chance and Osasuna beat Athletic Club with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 18 (before the first match) against those on April 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 77.5% | 63.0% | −14.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 60.4% | 74.4% | +14.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 13.2% | 25.2% | +12.0 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 32.7% | 21.9% | −10.8 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 51.0% | 60.3% | +9.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 82.7% | 73.7% | −9.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 79.4% | 70.8% | −8.6 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 44.7% | 37.1% | −7.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 15.5% | 22.8% | +7.3 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 13.4% | 6.3% | −7.0 |
