Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 66.2% | 79.2% | +13.0 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 25.4% | 36.3% | +11.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 64.7% | 53.9% | −10.8 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 20.1% | 29.0% | +8.9 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 51.0% | 44.0% | −7.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 77.3% | 71.0% | −6.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 33.9% | 27.9% | −6.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 11.9% | 5.9% | −6.0 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 5.5% | 11.3% | +5.9 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 39.6% | 45.4% | +5.8 |
