Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Real Oviedo with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 18 (before the first match) against those on February 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 59.5% | 71.8% | +12.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 78.1% | 66.2% | −11.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 88.3% | 77.3% | −11.0 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 15.0% | 25.4% | +10.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 30.0% | 20.1% | −10.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 77.6% | 86.0% | +8.3 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 43.0% | 51.0% | +8.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 56.7% | 64.7% | +8.0 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 10.0% | 16.3% | +6.4 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 27.9% | 21.7% | −6.3 |
