Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Zaragoza with a 14.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on September 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 40.1% | 26.1% | −14.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 45.4% | 32.9% | −12.5 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 33.6% | 21.3% | −12.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 31.5% | 41.8% | +10.2 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 40.0% | 49.7% | +9.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 18.9% | 27.8% | +8.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 18.2% | 9.4% | −8.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 47.4% | 55.8% | +8.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 27.0% | 34.9% | +7.9 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 56.6% | 64.2% | +7.6 |
