Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Barcelona beat Valencia with a 24.4% chance and Numancia beat Deportivo Alavés with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on January 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | Relegation | 56.6% | 39.2% | −17.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 62.1% | 76.0% | +13.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 76.3% | 87.5% | +11.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 60.2% | 69.9% | +9.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 79.9% | 71.1% | −8.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 14.5% | 23.3% | +8.7 |
| Valencia | Champion | 17.4% | 9.4% | −8.0 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 13.7% | 19.9% | +6.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 8.8% | 14.6% | +5.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 16.9% | 11.2% | −5.6 |
