Round 18

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on January 7 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ValenciaChampion30.4%17.4%−13.0
ValenciaChampions League88.2%79.9%−8.3
Real MadridChampion47.5%55.4%+8.0
Real SociedadRelegation66.0%73.5%+7.5
Deportivo AlavésChampions League14.9%7.5%−7.4
Las PalmasRelegation12.1%4.7%−7.4
VillarrealRelegation9.7%3.5%−6.2
BarcelonaChampions League56.4%62.1%+5.7
Athletic ClubRelegation8.0%2.3%−5.6
NumanciaRelegation51.2%56.6%+5.4
Home 54.2%
Draw 24.7%
Away 21.1%
Home 46.4%
Draw 26.8%
Away 26.8%
Home 45.2%
Draw 27.1%
Away 27.7%
Home 32.2%
Draw 28.9%
Away 38.9%
Home 38.0%
Draw 29.1%
Away 32.9%
Home 37.3%
Draw 29.3%
Away 33.4%
Home 62.6%
Draw 22.6%
Away 14.8%
Home 40.0%
Draw 28.6%
Away 31.5%
Home 41.4%
Draw 28.2%
Away 30.4%
Home 63.6%
Draw 22.3%
Away 14.1%