Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Celta Vigo with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 20 (before the first match) against those on January 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 45.0% | 56.4% | +11.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 22.1% | 11.3% | −10.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 36.8% | 47.5% | +10.7 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 40.9% | 51.2% | +10.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 24.0% | 14.9% | −9.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 63.1% | 54.4% | −8.7 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 20.6% | 12.1% | −8.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 79.8% | 71.5% | −8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 86.5% | 93.7% | +7.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 47.9% | 55.0% | +7.1 |
