Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 17 (before the first match) against those on December 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | Relegation | 55.7% | 40.9% | −14.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 55.4% | 65.5% | +10.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 30.6% | 21.3% | −9.4 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 29.7% | 20.6% | −9.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 36.9% | 45.0% | +8.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 55.1% | 63.1% | +7.9 |
| Valencia | Champion | 36.2% | 28.6% | −7.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 31.4% | 24.0% | −7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 79.3% | 86.5% | +7.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.6% | 36.8% | +7.1 |
