Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Real Zaragoza with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 25 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | Relegation | 26.2% | 11.5% | −14.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 57.7% | 67.7% | +10.0 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 26.9% | 36.5% | +9.6 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 22.5% | 13.0% | −9.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.9% | 70.6% | +8.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 22.6% | 14.1% | −8.5 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 50.2% | 58.7% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.4% | 18.7% | +8.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 24.3% | 32.5% | +8.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 28.6% | 36.2% | +7.7 |
