Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Extremadura beat Deportivo Alavés with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 64.6% | 50.2% | −14.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 48.8% | 62.2% | +13.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 33.0% | 22.5% | −10.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 51.4% | 61.9% | +10.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 33.9% | 24.3% | −9.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 40.4% | 49.7% | +9.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 37.7% | 28.5% | −9.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 20.0% | 28.6% | +8.5 |
| Mallorca | Champion | 14.7% | 21.9% | +7.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 24.7% | 18.1% | −6.6 |
