Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Celta Vigo with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on June 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 9.8% | 100% | +90.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 90.2% | 0% | −90.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 84.3% | 0% | −84.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 15.7% | 100% | +84.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation play-off | 80.4% | 0% | −80.4 |
| Extremadura | Relegation play-off | 36.6% | 100% | +63.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 26.3% | 0% | −26.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 73.7% | 100% | +26.3 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 20.4% | 0% | −20.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 79.6% | 100% | +20.4 |
