Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Sociedad with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on June 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Champions League | 51.1% | >99.9% | +48.9 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 48.9% | <0.1% | −48.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 41.9% | 9.8% | −32.0 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 58.1% | 90.2% | +32.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 55.2% | 73.7% | +18.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 44.8% | 26.3% | −18.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation play-off | 65.2% | 80.4% | +15.1 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 7.6% | 0% | −7.5 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 6.1% | 0% | −6.1 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 93.9% | 100% | +6.1 |
