Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Valencia with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 9 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 27.0% | 54.9% | +28.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 75.4% | 50.8% | −24.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 23.8% | 45.4% | +21.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 57.6% | 39.8% | −17.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 44.9% | 62.5% | +17.6 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 69.3% | 86.5% | +17.1 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 21.5% | 4.7% | −16.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 29.9% | 13.4% | −16.5 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 51.9% | 36.4% | −15.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation play-off | 18.7% | 31.1% | +12.4 |
