Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Athletic Club with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 25 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 44.2% | 22.6% | −21.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 57.3% | 35.7% | −21.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 32.2% | 51.1% | +18.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 55.4% | 69.7% | +14.3 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 57.2% | 70.3% | +13.2 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 37.6% | 26.8% | −10.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 17.0% | 7.6% | −9.4 |
| Extremadura | Relegation play-off | 45.6% | 54.8% | +9.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 12.8% | 4.6% | −8.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation play-off | 32.9% | 41.1% | +8.2 |
