Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Betis with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 21 (before the first match) against those on April 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 52.3% | 39.0% | −13.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 66.5% | 78.4% | +11.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 30.5% | 40.5% | +10.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 30.6% | 37.4% | +6.8 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 53.9% | 47.3% | −6.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 80.0% | 73.6% | −6.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 14.5% | 8.3% | −6.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 24.4% | 18.2% | −6.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 13.7% | 8.1% | −5.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 15.6% | 21.1% | +5.6 |
