Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Mallorca with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on March 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 42.9% | 22.6% | −20.2 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 50.1% | 30.5% | −19.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 34.7% | 52.3% | +17.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 52.2% | 66.7% | +14.6 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 53.3% | 67.1% | +13.8 |
| Valencia | Champion | 16.3% | 7.5% | −8.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation play-off | 41.8% | 50.4% | +8.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 71.5% | 80.0% | +8.4 |
| Salamanca | Relegation play-off | 35.7% | 27.4% | −8.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 74.3% | 66.5% | −7.8 |
