Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Tenerife with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on October 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 24.8% | 13.1% | −11.8 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 24.9% | 35.7% | +10.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 42.5% | 53.3% | +10.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 24.8% | 34.4% | +9.5 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 22.8% | 31.7% | +8.9 |
| Tenerife | Champions League | 16.4% | 7.8% | −8.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 14.3% | 7.0% | −7.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 26.1% | 19.3% | −6.8 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 9.6% | 15.5% | +5.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 21.2% | 15.8% | −5.4 |
