Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Racing Santander with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 15 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 42.4% | 66.4% | +23.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 26.5% | 9.9% | −16.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.1% | 96.7% | +13.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 16.9% | 3.4% | −13.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 36.2% | 24.3% | −11.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 21.7% | 31.6% | +9.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 11.1% | 2.5% | −8.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 87.8% | 96.2% | +8.4 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 89.4% | 95.5% | +6.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 5.9% | 0.9% | −5.1 |
