Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 9 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 58.9% | 36.1% | −22.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 63.8% | 83.0% | +19.2 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 36.2% | 17.0% | −19.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 19.5% | 5.5% | −14.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 80.2% | 93.3% | +13.1 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 30.0% | 42.8% | +12.9 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 80.0% | 89.4% | +9.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 18.0% | 27.1% | +9.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation play-off | 10.9% | 4.7% | −6.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation play-off | 16.7% | 22.5% | +5.8 |
