Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 6 (before the first match) against those on March 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura | Relegation | 66.5% | 53.8% | −12.6 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 48.6% | 58.6% | +10.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 23.2% | 14.0% | −9.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 45.1% | 54.2% | +9.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 13.4% | 5.8% | −7.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 14.8% | 8.3% | −6.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 39.9% | 33.4% | −6.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 14.6% | 20.5% | +6.0 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 85.5% | 90.5% | +5.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 36.1% | 40.2% | +4.1 |
