Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Extremadura beat Racing Santander with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on March 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 54.5% | 40.5% | −14.0 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 61.3% | 49.2% | −12.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 16.4% | 27.5% | +11.1 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 78.5% | 68.4% | −10.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 15.4% | 25.0% | +9.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 77.4% | 86.9% | +9.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 14.3% | 6.2% | −8.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.0% | 23.3% | −7.7 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 34.2% | 41.1% | +6.9 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 72.3% | 79.1% | +6.8 |
