Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Logroñés beat Sevilla with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 20 (before the first match) against those on February 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logroñés | Relegation | 79.1% | 61.3% | −17.8 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 56.9% | 72.3% | +15.3 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 36.0% | 22.7% | −13.3 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 88.5% | 78.5% | −10.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 19.3% | 10.5% | −8.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 31.2% | 22.6% | −8.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 32.8% | 40.4% | +7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 46.9% | 54.5% | +7.6 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 10.4% | 3.8% | −6.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 32.3% | 38.5% | +6.3 |
