Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Espanyol with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 16 (before the first match) against those on February 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 38.0% | 24.9% | −13.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 21.8% | 11.9% | −9.9 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 48.0% | 56.9% | +9.0 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 19.2% | 11.1% | −8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 54.2% | 46.9% | −7.2 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 79.8% | 86.9% | +7.1 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 47.9% | 42.3% | −5.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 6.7% | 12.0% | +5.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 14.2% | 19.3% | +5.1 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 74.2% | 79.1% | +5.0 |
