Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Oviedo beat Compostela with a 23.4% chance and Racing Santander beat Real Zaragoza with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 9 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 20.2% | 8.8% | −11.3 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 23.1% | 31.4% | +8.4 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 62.9% | 69.8% | +6.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 34.1% | 40.9% | +6.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 10.8% | 4.0% | −6.8 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 35.7% | 41.5% | +5.8 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 18.9% | 24.5% | +5.6 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 8.8% | 13.8% | +5.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 42.9% | 47.2% | +4.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 68.5% | 64.3% | −4.2 |
