Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Valencia with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Relegation | 26.6% | 16.8% | −9.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 39.8% | 47.4% | +7.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 32.4% | 39.8% | +7.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 50.9% | 43.8% | −7.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 13.0% | 6.0% | −7.0 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 22.3% | 15.6% | −6.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.8% | 38.3% | +6.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 72.8% | 66.8% | −6.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 18.1% | 23.3% | +5.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Europa League | 9.5% | 14.6% | +5.1 |
